NorthKorea


North Korea strategy: what you can do

To close out this fifteen-part series on strategy, what can one person as an individual do? First, I recommend considering you may be offering people unsolicited advice based on judgments they don't agree with if you, say, waltz into the country and tell people there you are going to help them make their lives better. Now matter how sure you are that you will help them, if they didn't invite you to help, the people you want to help will likely view you otherwise -- perhaps condescending, patronizing, or meddling. They may well have justification. Actions I would recommend. Learn about North Korea. I hope this page helps. Books, articles, and videos can help. My too-brief bibliography may start you off with some valuable but…

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North Korea strategy: reducing domestic support

If sunshine is the best disinfectant, then giving the North Korean people the same access that the rest of the world has to information about their country, its history, and the world would probably be the best strategy for change. Their compliance with their government effectively supports it more than anything else. That compliance makes sense, despite it appearing from our perspective against their long-term interests. Not complying can cost dearly. From what I hear The country's network of informants surpasses that of the East German Stasi. The government punishes your family members for your actions. Punishments can be unilateral and draconian, including lifelong imprisonment, torture, and death. No system of free speech or communication network exists to organize protest. North Korea's military is the…

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My North Korea talk slides

Here are the slides for my North Korea talk at Fred. I expect to show a lot of images, mainly from Joseph's amazing pictures on Flickr. I like my pictures, but his are phenomenal. Here is a pdf of the slides. Sorry the transitions don't make it in, but the slides are pretty light. I'll put up the video when they post it.

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North Korean strategy: increasing interaction

I've written at length on this page on how I think direct interactions between North Korean people and people from the rest of the world increase communication and understanding between the two groups. I mentioned in my post on the ethics on visiting North Korea that I expect increasing tourism will open the country. I think such interactions could change North Korea, mainly by bringing new information to the population. The North Korean people comply with their government's systems, effectively supporting it. The government creates that support with propaganda. The histories of North Korea, its leaders, South Korea, and the United States that the North Korean government tells its population differ from those the rest of the world understands. I don't know which stories are…

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North Korean strategy: reducing the risk to North Korean decision makers

I have to be careful in this post. Parts of it will sound distasteful so some. But the basic idea is the same as witness protection programs for criminals. As a society we have decided that at times we will protect criminals for their cooperation to achieve more important outcomes. North Korea's decision-makers are not criminals (everything they do is probably legal). I'm just using the analogy to explain. I noted something I believe motivates North Korea's leaders more than anything else -- from their perspective consequences of failure include their deaths as well as those of their families and probably everyone they know. We know what happens to most authoritarian leaders who lose power. North Korea's decision makers probably know very well the outcomes…

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North Korean strategy: China

One place I could see changing things in North Korea is its relationship with China. I'm sure the lack of knowledge I show in this post will make me look ignorant, but I'll share anyway. Most of what I know about relations between China and North Korea come from three sites The Council on Foreign Relations' report The China-North Korea Relationship The Council on Foreign Relations' report The Six-Party Talks on North Korea's Nuclear Program Wikipedia's article People's Republic of China—North Korea relations The first CFR report seems to cover the main topics well. I'll distill what seem the most salient points for strategy. The main point is that China has the largest border with North Korea and it is relatively unguarded. North Korean leadership…

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North Korean strategy: starting points for successful change

I've described a system where when all actors act in their interests, everybody loses, except perhaps a few dozen decision-makers in North Korea. I've described what I think won't substantively change the situation in North Korea. Yesterday I wrote about what wouldn't change things. One of the greatest lessons I learned in business school applies here, as well as to all so-called moral problems: If the system leads to only undesired outcomes, change the system. Changing a system rarely happens by changing one part of it unless the system depends on that part. To understand systems, I know of no better resource than Thinking in Systems by Donella Meadows, which I recommend reading. For thoughts on how to change systems, I recommend her essay Twelve…

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North Korean Strategy: what won’t change things

Before suggesting ideas that I believe can change things, I'll post some things I think won't change much in the long term. I pointed out what appears the dominant strategy for North Korean decision-makers Stabiility: to maintain its geographical dominance Loyalty: to maintain its support from its citizens All other decisions are subordinate to this strategy or irrelevant. I expect the North Korean government will resist any action that threatens those two principles. And I expect only actions that affect those points will make much difference (though many small actions in other areas may collectively make a big difference). I also pointed out the stakes to individual North Korean decision-makers. They care about the situation more than you do. Any strategy that leads North Korean decision-makers…

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North Korean strategy: how does the world look to North Korean leaders?

I have found people outside North Korea quick to express feelings of moral outrage, indignation, and injustice by judging North Korean leaders. They call them monsters, bad, evil, and so on. I have found such judgment counterproductive to influencing others (as well as my own well-being). If you don't like what's happening there and want to change it, expressing judgment may make you feel better, but you sacrifice ability to change things. I guarantee decision-makers there don't consider themselves monsters, bad, or evil. If you say they are, you polarize the situation, contribute to them digging in their heels, and stabilizing the situation you wanted to change. You may be right.They may be monsters, bad, evil, or worse. My goal isn't to label or categorize.…

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North Korean strategy: what do North Korean leaders want?

Last post I pointed out the stakes to individual North Korean decision-makers. That perspective implies North Korean decision-makers are part of a larger system they have little control over and have little choice not to follow their roles within it without grave risk to themselves and everything they care about. With so little choice, what do they want? What do they pursue? Of course they want material prosperity and security, like anybody else. Kim Jung Il famously buys hundreds of thousands of dollars worth of cognac annually. As individuals, they probably want to rise through the ranks, but probably in a limited way. Those desires we all anticipate. North Korea reminded me a lot of Nineteen Eighty-four, but I think the underlying systems differed. In…

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North Korean Strategy: from the leaders’ perspective

To understand how leaders in North Korea decide how to implement the strategy I've described in the past few posts, you have to look at the situation from their perspective. When a business decides its strategy, it formally deliberates and decides it. For the management team to mess up on implementing it may result in the company losing money, market share, and so on. Messing up badly can result in being fired and possibly losing their jobs and even personal savings. But you don't risk bodily harm or risk your life. When an authoritarian ruler messes up strategy, they risk losing their lives as well as the lives of their families and everyone they know. Just the past few years included the undignified executions of…

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North Korean Strategy: the North Korean government’s sustainable competitive advantages

I'm using the lens of business strategy to understand the North Korean government's strategy. That lens applies, partly because of the similarities between business and political competition, but mostly because North Korea's situation is so simple. The three main relevant factors in competitive strategy are Keeping out competition -- to have a sustainable competitive advantage -- dominates strategy. Dominating geographically is often an effective strategy for a sustainable competitive advantage. Customer captivity is another effective strategy for a sustainable competitive advantage. What is a sustainable competitive advantage? This value investing site put it succinctly for businesses A sustainable competitive advantage is the ability for a business to do something that its (potential) rivals cannot. It means being able to: Keep the business's current customers; and,…

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Audio interview: best part of visiting North Korea?

In today's interview, my business partner, Christina Black, asked me my best part of visiting North Korea. Small interface: [audio:https://joshuaspodek.com/wp-content/uploads/2011/11/north_korea_greatest_lesson.mp3] Large interface:[videofile]https://joshuaspodek.com/wp-content/uploads/2011/11/north_korea_greatest_lesson.mp3[/videofile] — EDIT: I included much of this post and this series on strategy (edited and polished) in my ebook, Understanding North Korea: Demystifying the World's Most Misunderstood Country. I wrote the book to help increase understanding, communication, and freedom.

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North Korea strategy: the players and their motives

First a few caveats before I paint the broad strokes for the perspectives and motivations for the major players as they relate to North Korean strategy. I haven't studied international and public affairs. I believe, nonetheless, that the broad strokes below describe the important aspects of the strategic situation. Perhaps I'm speaking out of ignorance, but I believe history backs me up: how else can you explain a regime maintaining power with no resources defying major global powers to build nuclear weapons, counterfeit the dominant powers' currency, deal arms and drugs, and oversee the preventable deaths of ten percent of its population? The North Korean Government The North Korean government controls the lives and economy of North Koreans more than most other countries. The higher…

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North Korea strategy: the playing field and major players

The playing field for North Korean strategy, which reduces the number of relevant players, simplifies North Korea's strategic situation more than almost anything else. Few other nations see such a combination of global importance and simplicity. The map below, from Wikipedia, shows nearly everything you need to know about the playing field. North Korea shares borders with three countries: China, South Korea, and Russia. Farther to the east lies Japan. No other countries are close. For a few reasons, mainly that North Korea developed nuclear weapons and its involvement in the Korean War, the United States is involved. Within North Korea I distinguish between the government and the people. Each of these players contains multitudes of sub-players with divergent interests. Nonetheless, I think treating these…

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North Korea strategy: a primer on strategy

If you want to plan something non-trivial, you need a strategy. If you don't know what strategy is, you can't make a good strategy. I've read one book that covers strategy better than any other -- Competition Demystified: a radically simplified approach to business strategy, by Bruce Greenwald and Judd Kahn (I haven't read On War yet but I have read Porter). While it focuses on business as opposed to political or military strategy the principles are similar. Competition Demystified's first chapter defines strategy, describes its importance, outlines its main principles, and begins the process of creating a strategy. On top of that, you can read most of it online for free, along with other parts of the book. I recommend reading it if your…

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North Korea strategy: preview

"What can I do?" This question drives interest in North Korea perhaps more than any other after asking what it's like. Even people who know little about the rest of the world sense something about North Korea they'd like to help with. Nobody sees what they can do. The next few posts will cover what you can do. I believe you need to understand North Korea's situation from a strategic level both globally and regionally to see what you can and can't do and what may or may not work. I also believe you can learn the relevant overall situation in a few blog posts. As unusual as the situation there is, I believe it is simple and that you can understand it easily. Yet…

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Pictures of North Korea, part 8: the road back to Pyongyang

Today's pictures were from the bus ride back from the Demilitarized Zone and Kaesong to Pyongyang. The early bus rides featured a lot of very friendly, open, and educational interchange between the guides and us. For some reason Mr. Kim, whom we affectionately nicknamed Crazy Kim for his ebullience and outspoken expression, quieted down after the first few days. Our loss.     I wrote the following about the above picture when I had posted it on a social networking site before putting it here: The first of three shots showing how leaders could increase peace and understanding between nations if they followed suit. On the way to the DMZ, Mr. Kim, our dynamic and fun guide, is teaching Jordan a kids game where you…

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Pictures of North Korea, part 7: Kaesong

After visiting the Demilitarized Zone we visited the city of Kaesong, the southernmost city in North Korea. Wordpress doesn't always get links in captions, so here's a sentence in there with some links, "Here's a video of many to start with and here's a Wikipedia page." After the day in Kaesong, we went to a traditional-style hotel, I think this one. I went to sleep early, but others drank and had funny stories about the bartender, a woman who behaved robotically. I woke up the next morning before 6am and heard the town loudspeaker turn on and play first morning music, then rousing music, and later what sounded like propaganda. That morning, jet-lagged, I started taking notes that evolved into this journal. Not only jet…

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Audio interview: why did I go to North Korea?

In today's interview, my business partner, Christina Black, asked me why I chose to go to North Korea. Why I chose to go was different than what made such a positive impression on me, a pattern that happens often in my life and I bet yours. Small interface: [audio:https://joshuaspodek.com/wp-content/uploads/2011/11/why_choose_north_korea.mp3] Large interface:[videofile]https://joshuaspodek.com/wp-content/uploads/2011/11/why_choose_north_korea.mp3[/videofile]

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Weird things in the United States from a North Korean perspective

I don't know what the world would look from the eyes of a North Korean, so I'm just speculating. I just wanted to go point for point on a bunch of yesterday's points on what I considered weird about them. Just because we think they do some things weird doesn't mean we don't. On the contrary, you thinking someone else weird virtually guarantees they will think you weird, but not in the way you'd first expect. I recommend reading this post next to yesterday's post. Each comment about the United States here corresponds to one from yesterday about North Korea. We don't have Kim statues everywhere but we have our own monuments. We have ads, billboards, and our own patriotic symbols, like flags and aircraft…

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Weird things I saw in North Korea

Weirdness is subjective, of course. I'm only describing what I consider weird. And I want to stress that I don't consider nor mean to imply that weirdness is bad. I consider it interesting. As a friend said, "Nobody is normal." I celebrate individual differences. I put "weird" in the title to get people thinking and asking themselves questions. In particular, I hope people will consider questions like these, which I think help you learn about and improve yourself: Do they consider these things weird or unusual? Do you consider these things weird or unusual? What do we do that they would consider weird or unusual? What do we do instead and why do we consider that normal if we do? Are any of these things…

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See me speak on North Korea in December!

EDIT: the updated details are here -- but, in short, Sunday, December 4, 7pm, 5 Crosby Street #5H in Soho. I will speak on North Korea at the next Fred Talk, December 4. Fred Talks are riveting and awesome, plus you meet amazing people there. And they get good pizza. The specific time and place haven't been set, but they are usually at 136 Lawrence Street in Brooklyn, right across the street from a subway stop or in Soho. Plan to arrive around 7:30pm. Bring your own beer. Put it on your calendar. I'll put the details here when I know them, along with the other speakers and topics.

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Rules for visitors in North Korea, part 2

Continuing rules and regulations we faced from yesterday... You may only exchange currency at the official exchange rate, which was about twenty or thirty times worse than the market rate. That is, if we exchanged dollars for North Korean currency at one of the approved sites, we got a certain amount of their currency. If we could walk around the corner and exchange with a private individual, we'd get twenty to thirty times more of their currency. Nonetheless, we could buy things using dollars, euros, or Chinese Yuan. Everyone we interacted with could exchange them instantly -- that is, they knew the exchange rates and were accustomed to the exchange. I didn't mean for this post to contain deep meaning, but this acceptance of practicality…

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