699: Robert Litterman, part 1: A Carbon Tax and Managing Risk

I met Bob at a conference on climate at my old school, Columbia Business School. He knew another participant, Gernot Wagner, with whom I recorded an episode I'll post soon, and was a peer with past guest Mark Tercek. I didn't work in finance, but I understand Bob and Mark were like dieties there. Bob brings two huge new things to climate (he talks about climate almost exclusively among our environmental problems, though we touch on others briefly in the conversation). First, he knows risk management. Most of his career, he didn't think much about the environment, but when he learned about it, he identified that we have to manage risk, so he dove into the issue. Second, he connected with a group of conservative…

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A new record for plastic water bottles: Disgusting and totally unnecessary. Pure pollution, no benefit.

In February I took pictures of a Fiji water bottle littered after a few sips drunk, despite water fountains within a few steps. Someone paid to extract oil, refine it into plastic, use it to ship water---WATER!---around the world, so they could drink a few sips and pollute our world with the plastic. That post was Disgusting and totally unnecessary. Pure pollution, no benefit. Check it out if you want to vomit. The other day, I found a new record. Another Fiji bottle, this time with not even a few sips taken. the bottle was smaller, but the amount drunk less. To clarify, in case you can't tell from the picture, the lid has been open and some water consumed. No one can drink the…

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This week’s selected media: July 9, 2023: The Death of Ivan Ilyich, by Leo Tolstoy, Homo Deus, by Yuval Noah Harari, and Her, by Spike Jonze

This week I read and watched: The Death of Ivan Ilyich, by Leo Tolstoy: I loved the movie Ikiru, which I watched a month or two ago. It was was inspired by this novella. The friend who recommended Ikiru also recommended this book. It's one of the best I've read. It's thoughtful, funny with biting satire, and a joy to read or listen to. It's also in the public domain so you can download it from many free sites (listed at the bottom of the Wikipedia page). I wonder if I'll get to War and Peace soon. What are you living for? What are you giving in your relationships and being returned? Who cares for you? Who doesn't? What systems are you living it? Do…

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Nature surviving: the blue jay that visits my rooftop

I mostly post about lost nature, but here's a post on its resilience: a blue jay that visits my rooftop. I'm not a bird watcher, but who doesn't love colorful birds? Growing up in Philadelphia, I saw blue jays all the time. Blue birds were less common and disappeared over the course of my childhood. In Manhattan, pigeons and house sparrows comprise nearly all bird species. Sometimes I'll see a starling, hawk, or gull. As human population and consumption keeps overshooting what Earth can sustain, other species suffer. This blue jay doesn't wait around for me to take its picture so I only have a few quick shots. I'll post more if they come. As much as I wrote this post to celebrate a part…

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Another month, zero kilowatt-hours: June 2023

Sometimes I wonder if I should stop posting my zero kilowatt-hour electric bills, but if I had had a role model I would have done it earlier. Someday some people will join. It's hardly extreme to do what every human being who ever lived did until a century ago and may still do. It's extreme to think, "well we live healthier than they did" and other myths and not care about hurting others. We need more role models, not more excuses, rationalizations, and justifications.

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My six-point plan if I ran for President

Why not think about what you'd do if you ran for President? How do you like this platform? My Six-Point Starting Plan The environment affects everyone, therefore my strategy starts: Top-down, bottom-up, everywhere, all at once, starting with you and me, here and now 75 in 75: I will increase Presidential effectiveness by reducing the White House’s footprint by 75 percent in 75 days. This is top-down role modeling. National Security: The U.S. military just spilled jet fuel in Pearl Harbor’s drinking water. The Secretary of Defense had to speak about it. It revealed inefficiency hurting Americans, undermining national security. I will work with the Secretary of Defense to improve national security by reducing the military’s footprint. Recall that our current Secretary of Defense wrote…

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Economists don’t know what they’re talking about needing growth but they won’t admit it.

Bill McKibben wrote about economic growth yesterday in the New Yorker, asking "To Save the Planet, Should We Really Be Moving Slower? The degrowth movement makes a comeback." He referred to a 2020 New Yorker piece "Can We Have Prosperity Without Growth?." The latter piece nearly exclusively looked at how economists looked at growth. Why should we listen to economists? Is it a science? Consider physics. In 1896, the renowned physicist William Thomson said about controlled heavier-than-air flight: I have not the smallest molecule of faith in aerial navigation other than ballooning or of expectation of good results from any of the trials we hear of. Thomson is better known today as Lord Kelvin for the title he held. If you've heard of the temperature…

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698: Chris Bystroff, part 1: Population Growth and Overpopulation

Population modeling can be hard, as is figuring out a prediction's accuracy, therefore how much confidence to give your conclusions. Many people can't hear talk about population without hearing things like eugenics and racism even when they aren't there. But population is one of the most important factors in sustainability. Everything becomes easier when population isn't near or above what Earth can sustain and harder when it's above. I came to Chris from reading his paper on modeling population growth, Footprints to singularity, which showed a couple things. It clarified that UN and peer projections lacked feedback mechanisms so couldn't show population decline. If your model can't show a population decline, it will blind you to the possibility and therefore keep you from preventing or…

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The reason you feel judged isn’t because environmentalists are judging you. It’s because you have a conscience.

Talk to people about sustainability and they'll say "stop judging me" or that you're making them feel guilty. If someone tries to judge me for something I don't have a problem with, I don't feel judged. When I lived in Paris and people tried to judge or make fun of me for being American, I didn't have a problem with it. If they judged me simply for being American, I saw it as their problem, not mine. The reason you feel judged isn't because environmentalists are judging you, nor anyone else. It's because you have a conscience. You'd do well to listen to it. Abraham Lincoln's quote remains my most relevant to sustainability: "Nothing is more damaging to you than to do something you believe…

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697: Dan Walsh, part 2: He sold his motorcycle and Playstation to gain freedom

In what looks to me like one of the biggest overcommitments of guests on this podcast and participants in the Spodek Method, Dan shares that to free his mind for meditation, he ended up selling his motorcycle and Playstation. Then we spoke about coaching and leading people to reach their potentials, which he experienced on the receiving end in reaching the Olympics twice and does now with others, and he appreciates me doing in corporations and on sustainability. You'll hear we both admire each other and are learning from each other. A curious note: you'll hear me puzzled at his tone, which I couldn't place. It didn't convey the sense of accomplishment and freedom his words did. We're still getting to know each other. I…

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This week’s selected media: July 2, 2023: The Fate Of Empires And Search For Survival, by Sir John Glubb and All The Wild That Remains Edward Abbey, Wallace Stegner, and the American West, by David Gessner

I read this week: The Fate Of Empires And Search For Survival, by Sir John Glubb: I started this book expecting irrelevance. The preface describes the author as a British veteran of World War One. The book is twenty-five pages, talking about imperialism. What could he know? I figured, of course he's viewing the world as an imperialist, likely racist and unsophisticated. Early on, he lists some empires and how long they lasted. I thought, "this list isn't remotely scientific and is no basis for analysis." He calls Native Americans savages. I figured I'd skim it to get it over with. Then the descriptions foretell remarkably what has happened in the fifty years since publication, remarkably prescient and on schedule. It isn't hard to translate…

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A Role Model for Our Times: Aristides de Sousa Mendes, fired for saving thousands of refugees from Nazis

Failures of imagination and leadership in sustainability are the hallmarks of our time. They mean that when even sustainably-minded people try to imagine people with political or business authority acting for sustainability, they can't think past how to make sustainability profitable or get votes. I'm going to lead CEOs to see themselves as humans first, CEOs second---politicians, journalists, celebrities, and so on too. Oskar Schindler didn't save those Jews from the Nazis because it was good for business. Robert Carter III didn't free the most slaves in America before the Civil War "to do well by doing good." They weren't used by their businesses to do what the businesses wanted, like more profit by local practices of Nazism and slavery; they used their businesses to…

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Speed reading bedtime stories to your kids: Some things don’t benefit from making more efficient

We thoughtlessly value efficiency and chase it places it doesn't make sense. I call it Speed reading bedtime stories to your kids. It makes sense: if you read your kids bedtime stories faster, you can move on to other things. Or rather, it obviously doesn't. Yet we do it with takeout food, doof, packaging, social media instead of spending time with people in person, flying around the world when there's infinite wonder, beauty, and diversity under our noses. Speed reading bedtime stories to your kids achieves the opposite goal we want. So do all the other things. The Opposite: Spending the Time the Relationship Takes With Those We Love If you think it's privileged to spend time with people you love, you don't understand how…

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What it means to want to say to your kids “I did my best”

I've heard parents say about the environment "I want to be able to look my child in the eye and say 'I did my best.'" I think it means something darker than they mean, and that they know it, but won't acknowledge it consciously. I will. When do you say such a thing? Not when things are fine. If the problem is solved, you don't have to say something like this. So you say it when things are bad, but not just bad, as bad as they can get. If you think things will improve or aren't that bad, you don't have to say it. You say it when you, they, or both are at risk of dying. You say it when the aquifer or…

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696: Anonymous executive from a fossil fuel corporation: A view from the inside

People who work at fossil fuel companies are people just like you and me. When you buy what the industry sells, you support it too. You rationalize and justify that your money supports lobbyists, advertising, extraction, pollution, depletion, making refugees, dictators, and so on. Want to stop people working there? I suggest it helps to understand them. We can start by understanding ourselves. Stopping ourselves from supporting that industry is easier than stopping them, so I recommend starting with ourselves. Note: we recorded this episode a few years ago, before I fully developed the Spodek Method.

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Another case where people see the problem as a solution, so keep stepping on the gas: Population Growth

Most times governments intervene in population, they push population growth. Why? Because they believe more people means more workers and consumers, which they believe will create jobs and help everyone. Podcast guest Jane O'Sullivan's 2017 paper "The contribution of reduced population growth rate to demographic dividend" concludes that population growth costs more than it benefits. It requires paying for infrastructure and more. She points out that lowering population growth were "not driven by economic advance but by voluntary family planning programs, and that these transitions generated enormous economic benefits for adopting countries." In other words, we shouldn't be pushing economic growth if we want to stabilize or lower population growth, but deliberate voluntary family planning programs. People did so in the 1970s, but stopped. By…

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LGBTQ+ People’s Garbage and Leaving It Worse Than You Found It: The Pride and Queer Liberation Marches 2023

Here's a preview of my annual pictures of Washington Square Park after the Pride March and Queer Liberation March. More pictures and commentary below. Also, pictures from last year: After the Pride and Queer Liberation Marches 2022: Washington Square Park wrecked again. I could cry. and the year before: “Pride Destroyed the Park”, Washington Square Park after a parade (Video). The camera can't capture the smell of urine and already-rotting garbage, but at least organic waste decomposes. The plastic takes centuries to. By the way, in case it isn't obvious, this post isn't about people's sexuality or preference. It's about equality, fairness, and love, not least to and for the people on the receiving end of the pollution and depletion in these pictures, as well…

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This week’s selected media: June 25, 2023

Among what I read and watched this week: The Life You Can Save, by Peter Singer: I confess I hadn't read the book before recording our podcast episode (not yet edited, but will update when posted), but I wrote about his drowning child analogy recently. This book blew me away. I expected dry philosophy I would argue against, but found it compelling. I will donate more to charity with enthusiasm. I highly recommend this book. (I'm still not a fan of the Effective Altruism movement.) World Made by Hand by James Howard Kunstler: I ask a lot of people if they can imagine a world where no one pollutes. Nearly no one can, despite nearly all of our ancestors doing so. Recording a podcast episode…

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35 Years Ago Today: Global Warming was front page news on the New York Times. Maybe Exxon knew. From then on, YOU DID TOO.

On June 24, 1988, the New York Times posted in its front page: Global Warming Has Begun, Expert Tells Senate You can say corporations and governments hid the problem from us, but not after June 24, 1988. From then on, we had no excuse to say we didn't know. We already knew of habitat loss, deforestation, plastic pollution, and tons of other problems. I'm curious, though. What are your excuses for not acting, even though they don't hold water? Why still cling to them? You'll feel better when you stop buying packaged food, air conditioning all the time, living in a bigger home than you need, and so on.

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What’s special about 436?

While reading ProPublica's story How a Grad Student Uncovered the Largest Known Slave Auction in the U.S., I came across these paragraphs about Lauren Davila finding a newspaper ad from 1835 announcing someone having sold 600 slaves in one auction: A sale of 600 people would mark a grim new record—by far. Until Davila’s discovery, the largest known slave auction in the U.S. was one that was held over two days in 1859 just outside Savannah, Georgia, roughly 100 miles down the Atlantic coast from Davila’s home. At a racetrack just outside the city, an indebted plantation heir sold hundreds of enslaved people. The horrors of that auction have been chronicled in books and articles, including The New York Times’ 1619 Project and “The Weeping…

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More syringes in our shared world and addicted culture, June 2023

Syringes discarded in the park mean out-of-control addiction. By out of control, I don't mean in the addict. I mean in our culture. People shooting heroin, fentanyl, and meth in broad daylight are only one of the more blatant examples of our culture of addiction. Facebook, McDonald's, doof in general, social media in general, TV engineered to binge-watch, bucket lists, and so on par. At least heroin harms the user most. If you use the others, since they pollute and deplete so much, you're probably hurting more people than the heroin users. Here are a couple syringes I picked up in my usual picking up litter sidcha. To clarify, I see such stuff all the time, especially the orange caps. I don't usually pick it…

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695: Dan Walsh, part 1: Two-time Olympian and Bronze medalist in rowing

If learning what it's like to watch your team win an Olympic gold medal from the sidelines isn't enough, and if learning what it's like to grow up in a family beset with poverty and addiction before reaching Olympic level competition isn't enough, and if learning what it's like after four more years to win an Olympic medal isn't enough, I'd say the best part of our conversation comes after all that. Then we talk about bringing out the best in others as a coach. How do you find out how to coach each person, athlete, executive, or otherwise? How to you lead a team to give to their potential? How do you keep everyone motivated? How do you keep yourself motivated? We both deeply…

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Nonstop Rain Forecast. Avoiding Plugging In. Will I Make It a Week?

I last plugged anything into an outlet, even at NYU, April 29, as I wrote in Plug in again or work less?. That day was my second time plugging in since March 13, as I wrote in One month without even my “cheat” of plugging in at work. Then both batteries died. Today, one battery is dead, at the manufacturer to be fixed. I want to keep my streak of not even plugging in at work alive, but I'm facing my first forecast with no sunny days in a while. What will I do? Forecasts can be wrong, so maybe one day will turn sunny, but I can't rely on hope. It's summer, which means delicious vegetables that don't need cooking, so I won't use…

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Tragic News About Flying

Three recent headlines on flying, all tragic: Boeing sees $8 trillion jet market as climate reshapes travel Airbus Predicts Asia to Lead Air Traffic Boom in Coming Decades Will travelling by plane ever be carbon neutral? Researchers have their doubts You don't need to read the articles. The headlines tell you all you need to know, especially when you know that when a headline asks a question, the answer is no. In this case, the third article recounts research clarifying that flying will never be carbon neutral. My comments, responding to that question: Not only is there no sign it will be carbon neutral, its greatest problems are beyond carbon. What cars have done to cities, planes do to nations. They tear communities and families…

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694: Matthew Matern, part 1: Running for President on Sustainability

Matt invited me to his podcast, A Climate Change. We stayed in touch after recording. He shared that he ran for President, including supporting sustainability. A goal of this podcast is to bring elected officials of all stripes. While he didn't get that many votes, he ran for several reasons, including to run as a Republican opposing Donald Trump. Listen to our conversation to learn more of his motivation. I wanted to bring him here not for the campaign alone but for his acting with integrity and character, even if not a huge campaign. How many pro-sustainability, anti-Trump Republicans do you know of? I saw determination arising from personal action. I also learned he's trying some things, like buying a hydrogen-powered car. My research shows…

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